Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1009.233153 1147.561215 1302.965303 1491.460860 1715.205460 1973.912715 2298.009398
2025-05-18 827.337305 1012.176938 1240.097159 1545.872245 1951.647756 2480.795477 3238.576898
2025-05-25 727.316776 932.492175 1201.288120 1587.203159 2140.711632 2928.229212 4176.474749
2025-06-01 649.589907 863.608867 1157.621284 1603.347842 2284.907101 3329.058616 5138.794289
2025-06-08 586.629444 803.438885 1113.216568 1604.908166 2399.427233 3698.964508 6143.092089
2025-06-15 545.287372 767.292470 1096.135371 1640.944962 2568.807553 4186.438521 7489.379177
2025-06-22 490.031686 703.609828 1028.665692 1585.109775 2572.260034 4382.549600 8335.026955
2025-06-29 445.065615 650.598238 971.070169 1536.115681 2576.704403 4577.158720 9233.675034
2025-07-06 405.001879 601.259645 913.762844 1479.219932 2555.725024 4715.265977 10048.513745
2025-07-13 391.267768 592.387197 921.332736 1536.791309 2760.555349 5358.926345 12317.173315
2025-07-20 372.514984 573.406075 909.532308 1556.739969 2893.286052 5877.831545 14484.075338
2025-07-27 354.398934 553.803374 894.457447 1568.034673 3009.288602 6386.235758 16856.883857
2025-08-03 336.254212 533.225870 876.654879 1573.801298 3119.509081 6923.342214 19650.105919
2025-08-10 326.609411 526.655968 883.671168 1630.741836 3357.646357 7863.951396 24423.812568
2025-08-17 316.074598 517.487990 884.703586 1675.049141 3575.014706 8819.894174 29976.749875
2025-08-24 303.170006 502.921808 873.914612 1692.306052 3729.314529 9646.111535 35686.820962
2025-08-31 289.633887 486.118043 857.135261 1693.976059 3844.105200 10391.968117 41721.971189
2025-09-07 281.073805 477.941176 856.640127 1732.530551 4066.226304 11575.699563 51313.510758
2025-09-14 263.399678 451.195440 816.258931 1672.800480 4003.236847 11748.181268 55298.891388
2025-09-21 247.853475 427.595239 780.577386 1620.417595 3952.864018 11956.896817 59827.823871
2025-09-28 232.706359 403.900383 743.028439 1559.621270 3868.094556 12014.442727 63489.457081
2025-10-05 229.536195 403.484010 754.419277 1621.139767 4166.102438 13709.658347 81933.223158
2025-10-12 223.056653 396.037349 750.107982 1642.465076 4344.392428 14997.520745 99680.016417